Looking at the world, in recent years, robotics and applications have become the commanding heights of competition among countries, and major countries have introduced development strategies related to robots. The industry also said that the rise of the industrial robot industry is not only an economic issue, but a big issue related to the future national economy and people's livelihood.
"Robot Wars" kicked off. How does China's intellectual creation force the crowd?
A bionic robot arm that can be handled flexibly, palletized or even polished; a collaborative robot that performs CNC machining, packaging, test and inspection; a service robot that guides the work through voice response; can be a companion robot for people to "end tea to water"... There seems to be more and more things that robots can do.
When most people's impression of robots is still in the discussion of whether the use of robots will cause large-scale unemployment, which leads to the "sci-fi" color that humans are ultimately controlled by robots, robots are stepping up to "invade" the production lines of Chinese factories.
Many people may not know that China has become the world's largest industrial robot market, and this position has been maintained for three years.
With this market with unlimited potential, the robot industry has also begun to enter the "golden age", and enterprises, capital, and government have focused on the robot industry. A "robot war" is kicking off, including the competition between Chinese and foreign companies for the big cake in the Chinese market, as well as the competition between local capital and the local government for the commanding heights of the "smart manufacturing" label industry.
Looking at the world, in recent years, robotics and applications have become the commanding heights of competition among countries. Major countries have introduced development strategies related to robots, such as German Industry 4.0, Japan's new robot strategy, and the US Advanced Manufacturing Partnership Program. Both involve the development of the robot industry. The US Advanced Manufacturing Partnership Program, announced in 2011, clearly stated that it will invest $70 million in the development of next-generation robots.
In the “13th Five-Year Plan†of China, robots are also among the emerging frontiers that are vigorously promoting innovation and industrialization.
In the interview, the industry said, "In a sense, whether the industrial robot industry can rise is not only an economic issue, but a big issue related to our future national economy and people's livelihood."
The booming Chinese robot market
In 2015, China's self-owned brand industrial robots sold a total of 22,257 units, an increase of 313.3% year-on-year;
However, the current “four big families†of foreign robots have a share of more than 80% in the Chinese market.
The robot has become "just needed"
Robot replacement is not a new topic. In 2011, Guo Taiming had an ambitious statement that the number of robots in the Foxconn factory will reach 1 million units in three years. Not only Foxconn, but also many traditional manufacturing companies have also proposed a "machine substitution" plan.
However, "machine substitution" is advancing faster in China than people expected.
According to a report released by market research firm IDC on China's industrial robots, by 2018, China's manufacturing robot adoption rate is expected to grow by more than 150%. The report also pointed out that the engineering-oriented value chain enterprises are currently the largest robot adopters in China, but with the gradual improvement of China's manufacturing automation, in the next two years, brand-oriented value chain enterprises, asset-oriented value chain enterprises and technology-oriented value chain enterprises There will be strong growth opportunities in terms of robot adoption.
At the 2016 World Robotics Congress held recently, the statistics released by the International Robot Federation (IFR) show that China is the fastest growing industrial robot market in the world. From 2010 to 2016, the total supply of industrial robots in China is averaged annually. The growth rate is about 40%.
In 2015, the global sales of industrial robots was 248,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%. Among them, the total sales volume of Chinese industrial robots was 66,700 units, accounting for more than 1/4 of the global industrial robot market. This is the third place in the world for three consecutive years since China surpassed Japan to become the world's largest industrial robot consumer market in 2013.
Many experts who participated in the 2016 World Robotics Conference pointed out that the increasingly aging population structure, rising labor costs and global competition are important factors driving the rapid growth of the Chinese robot market. In addition, the “Made in China 2025†proposal and the encouragement of innovation and increased investment in emerging companies have all contributed to the rapid development of the robotics industry.
In the view of Cai Hongping, chairman of Hande Capital, the robot industry is the industry that “Made in China 2025†has broken through so far, thanks to the rigid demand for industrial upgrading in China. He said that with the rising labor costs, the profits of enterprises have shrunk greatly, and with the depreciation of the RMB, the profits of a large number of export processing enterprises have been negligible. It is the only way for China's manufacturing industry to achieve industrial upgrading through intelligent manufacturing, thereby improving efficiency and reducing costs.
At present, the country with the highest density of industrial robots is Korea, with 69 per 10,000 people; China currently has 49 per 10,000 people. The density of use of industrial robots in China still has a huge room for growth.
The labor cost of China's manufacturing industry has approached the United States. In the first half of 2016, Oxford Economics research shows that China's current labor cost is only 4% lower than that of the US; Japan's labor cost is 70% to 80% of China's; labor costs in India are only China. More than 30%. China's labor cost growth far exceeds productivity growth: from 2003 to 2016, US manufacturing unit labor productivity increased by about 40%. Although China's manufacturing unit labor productivity growth has nearly doubled in the same period, the US is still higher than China. 80%.
According to the "2016 China Zhizhi First-line Employment Management Survey Report" issued by Zhongzhi Company, the average annual income of ordinary front-line employees in manufacturing enterprises was 56,856 yuan in 2015, and the blue-collar high-tech employees were 71,065 yuan. Cai Hongping said that for Chinese manufacturing companies with an annual labor income of about 60,000 yuan, the cost of importing a five-axis linkage production line from internationally renowned robot companies such as KUKA, ABB, etc. is about the cost of hiring an ordinary labor force for three years. The former can maintain operation for 10 years.
Foreign robots are good at chanting?
For any industry, China is always the biggest market. "Russian Robotics Association President Vitali Nedersky bluntly told reporters.
Vitali Nedersky said that the number of industrial robots in use around the world reached 1.6 million units by the end of 2015, and Asia is still the largest market, with the Chinese market growing at a rate of 17%.
According to him, the density of industrial robots in China is currently 49 per 10,000 people, and the country with the highest density of industrial robots is South Korea, with 69 per 10,000 people. Considering the difference in population between China and South Korea, China’s industrial robots There is still a huge room for growth in the use of density.
However, in China, the world's largest industrial robot consumer market, it is a good chanting of foreign robots.
Despite the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, the sales volume of China's own-brand industrial robots has grown rapidly. “In 2015, China's industrial robot production was 32,996 units (including foreign brands), up 21.7% year-on-year; self-owned brand industrial robots sold 22,257 units, an increase of 313.3% year-on-year. "But there are data showing that the "four big families" that account for more than 50% of the global industrial robot market share - Germany's KUKA, Swiss ABB, Japan's FANUC and Yaskawa Electromechanical, have an absolute market share in the Chinese market and have exceeded 80%. In addition, robots and supporting companies in Italy, the United States, and South Korea have also laid out the Chinese market.
Core technology becomes a bottleneck
Previously, Li Dong, director of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, publicly stated that there are more than 800 robot companies of a certain size in China, but nearly half of them are empty brands without products. The remaining half of the enterprises have no technical accumulation, mainly relying on them. Imported parts assembly and processing, at the bottom of the industrial chain, only about 100 companies that can produce their own parts or robot products.
A research report of Minsheng Securities also pointed out the hidden dangers of the low-end development of China's robot industry. At present, there are more than 800 companies designing robots in China, and more than 200 are robotic body manufacturing enterprises. Most of these enterprises are assembly and processing, and industrial concentration. Very low, the overall size is small. In addition, local robotics companies have weaker capabilities in manufacturing high-end products. The share of foreign brands in robots with more than six axes is as high as 85%, and 70% of robotic components are imported from abroad.
Qu Guoyi, chairman of Beijing Tide Fund Management Group, said that the gap between China's robot industry and the international robot industry is mainly reflected in the low-end products, the uneven quality, the weak independent innovation capability, the small scale, and the core. Technology can break through and so on.
It is understood that industrial robots mainly include core parts production, body manufacturing, system integration and industrial applications. The reducer, servo motor and controller are the three core components of industrial robots. At present, ontology manufacturing and system integration are the strengths of domestic industrial robot companies. According to the relevant data of the Sui and Tang Dynasties Research Institute, among the core components of industrial robots, most of the well-known robotic body manufacturing enterprises in China have been able to produce controllers by themselves, but there is still a certain gap with the international level; while servo motors and reducers still rely heavily on imports. The high procurement cost has become one of the bottlenecks restricting the development of domestic robots.
Due to the failure to master the core technology, the gross profit of Chinese industrial robot companies is very low. Cai Hongping analyzed that the core components are currently in the hands of overseas companies, the reducer accounts for 33% of the total cost, the servo motor accounts for 35%, the controller and sensor account for 20%, and the Chinese enterprise strengths of the ontology manufacturing and system integration. About 10% of the profits.
The robot industry is the industry that China Manufacturing 2025 has broken through so far, thanks to the rigid demand for industrial upgrading in China.
In the long run, the cost of domestic industrial robots is subject to the high premium of core components. Only mastering the key technologies of real core components is the way to break.
In April this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance and other three ministries jointly issued the "Robot Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)" (hereinafter referred to as "Planning") to guide the rapid, healthy and sustainable development of China's robot industry. The "Planning" put forward the five-year overall goal of industrial development, and proposed five main tasks, as well as six policy measures. Among them, among the five major tasks, we will vigorously develop key components of robots and fully break through the requirements of five key components such as high-precision reducers, high-performance servo motors and drives, high-performance controllers, sensors and end-effectors. The weak link in the development of China's industrial robot industry is the biggest stumbling block in China's industrial robot industry's autonomy.
Qu Daokui, president of Xinsong Robot Automation Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as “Xinsongâ€) pointed out that the future development of industrial robots should be innovative and changed from the fields of industry, technology and parts, and promote the advancement of industrial robots to the middle and high end. The main task is to promote the breakthrough of major iconic products, and to strengthen the ability to innovate. Technology drive is always an effective path for the development of the robot industry.
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The off-grid segment is expected to be the fastest-growing market segment in the portable power station market, by application, during the forecast period.
The portable power station market is segmented by application into emergency power, off-grid power, and automotive. The off-gird power segment is projected to grow at the highest rate during the forecast period. The demand to power modern electronic equipment such as laptops, smartphones, etc., is driving the portable power station market for the off-grid segment. The growth of this segment is also driven by the increase of camping and outdoor recreational activities, and the growing use of smart electronic devices in regions such as North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific.
North America is expected to account for the largest market size during the forecast period.
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